Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001214 1.368605e-03 0.001524 0.001692 0.001868 0.002045 0.002237
2025-08-03 0.000992 1.216712e-03 0.001450 0.001707 0.001983 0.002267 0.002580
2025-08-10 0.000759 1.026203e-03 0.001313 0.001640 0.001997 0.002372 0.002792
2025-08-17 0.000597 8.956466e-04 0.001229 0.001617 0.002050 0.002512 0.003035
2025-08-24 0.000429 7.388777e-04 0.001101 0.001536 0.002030 0.002565 0.003180
2025-08-31 0.000327 6.490543e-04 0.001041 0.001524 0.002082 0.002693 0.003401
2025-09-07 0.000258 5.912432e-04 0.001013 0.001544 0.002166 0.002854 0.003657
2025-09-14 0.000178 5.049504e-04 0.000942 0.001508 0.002182 0.002935 0.003820
2025-09-21 0.000136 4.654037e-04 0.000927 0.001535 0.002268 0.003093 0.004068
2025-09-28 0.000113 4.520132e-04 0.000943 0.001599 0.002397 0.003298 0.004366
2025-10-05 0.000076 4.049137e-04 0.000910 0.001600 0.002448 0.003413 0.004561
2025-10-12 0.000052 3.758464e-04 0.000899 0.001626 0.002527 0.003559 0.004791
2025-10-19 0.000028 3.452442e-04 0.000898 0.001684 0.002668 0.003803 0.005163
2025-10-26 0.000004 2.858775e-04 0.000850 0.001680 0.002737 0.003965 0.005447
2025-11-02 NaN 2.006881e-04 0.000750 0.001602 0.002712 0.004017 0.005605
2025-11-09 NaN 1.464416e-04 0.000689 0.001571 0.002743 0.004135 0.005837
2025-11-16 NaN 8.389220e-05 0.000593 0.001486 0.002701 0.004163 0.005964
2025-11-23 NaN 5.329847e-05 0.000550 0.001471 0.002747 0.004293 0.006209
2025-11-30 NaN 3.596863e-05 0.000530 0.001489 0.002833 0.004472 0.006509
2025-12-07 NaN 1.384247e-05 0.000478 0.001453 0.002846 0.004560 0.006702
2025-12-14 NaN 6.419169e-06 0.000466 0.001478 0.002940 0.004746 0.007008
2025-12-21 NaN 4.304434e-06 0.000478 0.001541 0.003083 0.004991 0.007383
2025-12-28 NaN 4.921169e-08 0.000452 0.001542 0.003141 0.005131 0.007633